Don’t lose Heart, Latest Polls Say Dead Heat

 Americans love a winner, that is why for the last several weeks, the press has gone out of its way to make it appear that Hillary Clinton was stomping Donald Trump. The idea was to release poll after poll showing Hillary leading in polls that were heavily weighted with Democrats so that you would believe Mr. Trump had no chance so why vote for him.

But the fact is that according to one poll that has been taken over several weeks, Mr. Trump has been leading ever since the conclusion of the Democrat convention. Not by a lot, but on average he has maintained a steady lead of about 2 points. The bad news is that with the presidential election just two weeks away, Mr. Trump has slipped just a little to the point where both candidates are deadlocked at 41% of voters.

Clinton, Trump pick up big wins

The news is sure to infuriate Trump supporters who have stood by their man over the worst accusations that the Clinton campaign could throw at him. Now with Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump finding themselves in a virtual dead heat in a four-way race, the latest IBD/TIPP presidential tracking poll shows.

The only real movement in this campaign seems to be among the designated losers, Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson edged up to 8% from 7%, while the Green Party’s Jill Stein rebounded to 4% from 3%, and that support appears to have been siphoned off from Mr. Trump. Without rounding, Trump stands at 41.1%, 0.1 percentage point behind Clinton’s 41.2%. Johnson stands at 7.7%, non-rounded, while Stein is at 3.7%. In a two-way face-off without the other two candidates excluded, Trump and Clinton are knotted at 42%. On the non-rounded data, Trump slightly edges Clinton, 42.3% to 42%.

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The poll of 815 likely voters is still slightly weighted in favor of Hillary and has a margin of error of plus-or-minus 3.6 percentage points. It had a weighted response of 291 Democrats, 235 Republicans and 271 people who called themselves either “independents” or “other.” But unlike many other polls, the IBD/TIPP Poll continues to show a tightening race, as the candidates and their surrogates slug it out in public in the waning days until the Nov. 8 polling date.

Among major polls, only Rasmussen, L.A. Times/USC, Reuters/Ipsos and IBD/TIPP Poll consistently show it close. With the race tightening and time running out, Trump on Saturday delivered a symbolic speech at Gettysburg, where he unveiled a sweeping, mostly conservative agenda for his first 100 days.

Mr. Trump, promised to “drain the swamp” in the nation’s capital and “replace it with a new government by and for the people,” Trump vowed to initiate a series of reforms including congressional term limits, a hiring freeze on federal workers (excepting military, safety and health workers) and a major regulatory change: “For every new federal regulation, two existing regulations must be eliminated.” He went on to say that “It’s a contract between Donald J. Trump and the American voter, and it begins with bringing honesty, accountability and change to Washington, D.C.,” Trump said during his Gettysburg speech.

Meanwhile he also swore to “totally renegotiate Nafta,” and to take the U.S. out of the proposed Trans-Pacific Partnership, which hasn’t yet been approved by Senate. In addition to “label China a currency manipulator” as well as end “billions in payments” to U.N. climate change programs.

He pledged to begin looking for someone to replace the late Supreme Court Justice Antonin Scalia. This follows the third and final debate, in which Trump promised to fill Scalia’s spot — and any others that open up — with conservative jurists who “will interpret the Constitution the way the founders wanted it interpreted, and I believe that’s very, very important.”

But the most popular promise made by Mr. Trump was when he took a swipe at President Obama who is now spending Millions of Taxpayer dollars hustling the crowds campaigning for Hillary Clinton, Trump again promised to “cancel every unconstitutional executive action, memorandum and order issued by President Obama.”

Mr. Trump said that was only for starters, he added that he would unveil, in lightening succession, a “Middle Class Tax Relief and Simplification Act,” an “American Infrastructure Act,” a “Restoring Community Safety Act,” an “End the Offshoring Act,” and, for good measure, a “Repeal and Replace ObamaCare Act,” something that Republicans have been trying to do for 4 years, but have been stymied by Democrats and the President.

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And, finally, he promised to deport criminal illegal immigrants such as “drug dealers, gang heads, killers,” while temporarily halting immigration from areas where terrorism is common. And, he says, he’ll build the wall through the “End Illegal Immigration Act.”.

Meanwhile, Hillary Clinton has concentrated on laying out an extensive agenda of tax hikes, higher government spending and increased regulation as a way to break the U.S. out of its growth slump. Something that has never worked in the past and is destined to fail if tried again. She seems to be convinced by the fawning media’s contrived polls showing her with none existent big leads and is happy to sit back and coast to the Presidency. But even her closest advisors warn she has a problem connecting with the voters, probably due to ongoing revelations of unethical and possibly illegal behavior with her home-brew email server, her failures during her tenure as secretary of state, and concerns over the improperly cozy ties between the Clinton Foundation and the State Department. “Honest and trustworthy has become our most talked about metric because it’s not great,” in Hillary’s case, Clinton’s communications director Jennifer Palmieri told ABC/News.

Hillary did appear over the weekend at rallies in heavily Democratic parts of Pennsylvania where she was assured large crowds, another sign that Clinton thinks the race has been won. She again lambasted Trump for saying he might not respect the outcome of the election if it appears fraudulent.

In a remark that brought back memories of both Al Gore in the 2000 election, and Hillary’s own temper tantrum when she lost to Obama and refused to concede until offered the Secretary of State post, Ms. Clinton told the loyalists, “Make no mistake about this, my friends: he is threatening our democracy,” she said.

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Trust me, this election is a long way from over for everyone, except Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson and the Green Party’s Jill Stein. My suggestion is don’t pay any attention to the polls, just vote what you truly believe is best for the country and your family. Mr. Trumps plan of jobs and the economy or Ms. Clinton’s more government, more taxes and more regulation…. contributed to this report.

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©2016 R. L. Grimes, All Rights Reserved.

About the Author

Richard is a freelance Journalist, who served in the Air Force during the Vietnam War. After his discharge he worked in Law Enforcement and Corrections for several years and was a member of SWAT before earning a degree in Computer Science. He was a consultant to government agencies including DEA, FBI, NRC, DOD and NASA. In the 90's he received a Business Management Degree and became a Consulting Analyst to several Fortune 100 companies. Later he taught G.E.D at Florida State Prison. He is married and has several grandchildren and great grandchildren. You can follow Richard on